2022 Genesis Scottish Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Cameron DaSilva
Sportsbook Wire

In preparation for the 150th Open Championship at St. Andrews next week, the majority of the top players in the world are playing in the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open this week at the Renaissance Club. It's a strong field with 14 of the top 15 players in the world, including Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

The Renaissance Club is hosting the Scottish Open for the fourth time, testing players with narrower fairways (by links golf's standards) and deep fescue. It's still a course that can yield some lower scores - Min Woo Lee won at 18-under par last year - but the wind can also make things difficult.

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Genesis Scottish Open - Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:34 p.m. ET.

Collin Morikawa (+650)

Morikawa is one of the best ball strikers in the world and showed what great iron play can do on a links course last year when he won The Open Championship. He tied for 71st here in 2021, but now that he's had time to work on the new draw he's been hitting, I think he'll have a better showing at Renassaince this time around.

Will Zalatoris (+550)

In a similar vein to Morikawa, Zalatoris should put on a show this week with his approaches into greens. He was sharp in Brookline at the U.S. Open and if he can dial in those irons again in Scotland, he'll be in contention. At +550, he's slightly below the top tier of players, which makes me like this pick even more.

Matthew Fitzpatrick (+425)

The current U.S. Open champion, Fitzpatrick is on an absolute heater with the way he's been playing lately. He played well here last year, tying for 2nd. It's an event he's very familiar with so I expect him to play well again this week, especially with the length he's added to his game in the last year or so.

Other T5 contenders ( in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Hideki Matsuyama (+700)

Genesis Scottish Open - Top-10 picks

Lucas Herbert (+600)

There may not be a man who's played better in this event the last 2 years than Herbert. He tied for 4th in each of the last 2 years, putting himself in contention both times. The Australian only has one top-20 since the Masters and missed 3 of his last 6 cuts, but this is a course he seems to love.

Justin Thomas (+180)

A bit of a safer play, Thomas has finished in the top 10 both times he's played in the Scottish Open (T-8 in 2021 and T-9 in 2019). He faded down the stretch at the U.S. Open, but prior to that T-37 finish, he was a top-5 finisher in 3 of his previous 4 starts.

Robert MacIntyre (+650)

MacIntyre tends to play well in stronger fields such as the U.S. Open, and he's done that in this event too. He tied for 18th and 14th in his last 2 starts at the Scottish Open, which came in 2020 and 2021. A top-10 finish would pay out nicely.

Genesis Scottish Open - Top-20 picks

Luke List (+450)

List has only played the Scottish Open once, but it was a positive result: T-3 in 2018. He's a really good ball striker who has not putted well - at all - this season and should find some success at The Renaissance Club if he can just end the week in the top half of Strokes Gained: Putting.

Tommy Fleetwood (+210)

In his last 7 starts at the Scottish Open, Fleetwood has finished in the top 20 3 times, plus a T-26 in 2021. This course suits his game and it could be the event that gets him going just before The Open Championship.

Other T20 contenders ( in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Viktor Hovland (+175)

Genesis Scottish Open - Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Matthew Fitzpatrick (-125) vs. Cameron Smith (+105)

Ever since his T-3 finish at the Masters, Smith has gone a bit cold. He doesn't have a top 10, missed the cut at the U.S. Open and tied for 48th in the RBC Canadian Open. He's tough to trust right now, and the opposite can be said about Fitzpatrick in this tournament.

Collin Morikawa (-120) vs. Sam Burns (+100)

Burns took the week off after missing the cut at the Travelers Championship, a surprising result. He simply didn't look sharp in Cromwell. Morikawa hasn't played an official event since the U.S. Open, but he did play in the J.P. McManus pro-am this week, so he had time to knock some rust off.

Will Zalatoris (-120) vs. Jordan Spieth (+100)

Zalatoris is having a terrific season again, particularly in bigger events. Spieth tied for 37th at the U.S. Open and missed the cut the following week in the Travelers Championship. It seems these 2 players are trending in opposite directions right now.

More Genesis Scottish Open coverage:

Genesis Scottish Open - Top Asian

Hideki Matsuyama (+280)

Matsuyama is a great iron player and should play well this week. Sungjae Im (+330) is the next-closest contender to Matsuyama as far as this wager goes, and it could be a 2-man race between them.

Genesis Scottish Open - Top American

Collin Morikawa (+1200)

You're essentially getting Morikawa at +1200 without having to contend with Rahm, Matsuyama, Smith and Hovland, among others. That's a good value with the way he's playing.

Genesis Scottish Open - First-round leader

Matt Kuchar (+9000)

Don't throw a lot at Kuchar to be the 1st-round leader because, well, he is +9000. But he shot 62 in the opening round of the 2019 Scottish Open, he leads the PGA Tour in 1st-round scoring and he has shot 67 in Round 1 in 3 of his last 4 starts.

Justin Thomas (+3000)

Thomas was 1 shot off the lead after the 1st round last year, firing a 65 on Thursday. I could easily see him coming out strong this week after playing 2 days in Ireland, getting himself ready for the next 2 weeks of links golf.

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